AskCalc
Home › Neurology › RoPE

RoPE Score (Risk of Paradoxical Embolism)

The RoPE score (0–10) estimates how likely a patent foramen ovale found after a cryptogenic stroke is causal rather than incidental. Higher scores (younger, no vascular risk factors, cortical infarct) mean a higher PFO-attributable fraction: 0% at 0–3 points up to 88% at 9–10 points.

  • Age (years)
  • History of hypertension (yes/no)
  • History of diabetes (yes/no)
  • Prior stroke or TIA (yes/no)
  • Current smoker (yes/no)
  • Cortical infarct on imaging (yes/no, +1)
—

Interpretation

ResultMeaning
0–3PFO-attributable fraction 0%; 2-y recurrence 20%
438%; 12%
534%; 7%
662%; 8%
772%; 6%
884%; 6%
9–1088%; 2%

Formula

1 point each for: no hypertension, no diabetes, no prior stroke/TIA, non-smoker, cortical infarct on imaging. Age 18–29 5 · 30–39 4 · 40–49 3 · 50–59 2 · 60–69 1 · ≥70 0. Total 0–10.

Clinical pearls

  • Use only in cryptogenic stroke with a PFO; the attributable fraction is a population estimate, not proof of causation in an individual.
  • Closure trials enrolled mainly patients ≤60 years; the PASCAL classification combines RoPE with high-risk PFO features (atrial septal aneurysm, large shunt).

Examples

FAQ

What RoPE score suggests the PFO caused the stroke?

Scores of 7 or more correspond to PFO-attributable fractions of 72–88%; scores of 0–3 suggest the PFO is likely incidental.

Does a high RoPE score mean high recurrence risk?

No. Higher RoPE scores have lower 2-year recurrence (2% at 9–10 versus 20% at 0–3) because these patients have fewer conventional risk factors.

Evidence

  1. Kent DM et al. An index to identify stroke-related vs incidental patent foramen ovale in cryptogenic stroke. Neurology 2013;81:619–25.

Neurology · Reviewed 2026-10-14 · Methodology